Weather – Yachting https://www.yachtingmagazine.com Yachting Magazine’s experts discuss yacht reviews, yachts for sale, chartering destinations, photos, videos, and everything else you would want to know about yachts. Fri, 23 Aug 2024 17:00:06 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.2 https://www.yachtingmagazine.com/uploads/2021/09/favicon-ytg-1.png Weather – Yachting https://www.yachtingmagazine.com 32 32 Superyacht Collision, Sinking Incident, Takeaways and Lessons https://www.yachtingmagazine.com/yachts/collision-weather-incident-takeaways/ Fri, 23 Aug 2024 17:00:05 +0000 https://www.yachtingmagazine.com/?p=65773 Two Mediterranean superyacht incidents in two months prompts safety analysis.

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waterspout
The Bayesian superyacht shipwreck may have been caused by a tornadic waterspout during intense storms Monday morning. adobe.stock/hit1912

Two superyacht incidents occurring within two months of each other in the Mediterranean are prompting experts to assess what went wrong and how to more safely navigate the high seas.

On July 22, the superyacht Venus owned by Laurene Powell Jobs –widow of former Apple CEO Steve Jobs– collided with another vessel off the coast of Italy. The incident was captured on video where crew members can be heard yelling as the ships drew nearer and bumped into each other.

On Monday, superyacht Bayesian owned by British technology businessman Mike Lynch was sunk during a storm off the coast of Sicily. The Independent reported that the Bayesian was carrying 22 people at the time, and Italian officials fear Lynch and five others may have been trapped inside the boat.

More recent reporting by The Independent on Wednesday states that five bodies have been recovered from the shipwreck so far, with one person still missing. The deceased have not yet been identified.

What Happened to the Bayesian?

It’s still unknown what caused the Bayesian to sink, but a recent New York Times article states witnesses described seeing a possible waterspout during Monday’s storm.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Ocean Service describes two types of waterspouts: fair weather waterspouts and tornadic waterspouts.

“Tornadic waterspouts are tornadoes that form over water, or move from land to water,” NOAA’s National Ocean Service states on its website. “They have the same characteristics as a land tornado. They are associated with severe thunderstorms, and are often accompanied by high winds and seas, large hail, and frequent dangerous lightning.”

Fair weather waterspouts on the other hand are generally not associated with thunderstorms and form along the dark flat base of a line of developing cumulus clouds.

“While tornadic waterspouts develop downward in a thunderstorm, a fair weather waterspout develops on the surface of the water and works its way upward,” The National Ocean Service states. “By the time the funnel is visible, a fair weather waterspout is near maturity. Fair weather waterspouts form in light wind conditions so they normally move very little.”

Given this information, it’s more likely that Monday’s storms would have yielded a tornadic waterspout.

How to Avoid and Safely Navigate Waterspouts

NOAA’s Ocean Today website states that waterspouts are spotted in the Florida Keys more than any other place on earth. The organization warns sailors to watch the sky for certain types of clouds when trying to avoid these storms.

“In the summer, with light winds, look for a possible waterspout underneath a line of cumulus clouds with dark, flat bases,” Ocean Today states on its website. “Anytime of the year, a thunderstorm or line of thunderstorms, can produce very intense waterspouts.”

NOAA also advises captains to listen for special marine warnings about waterspout sightings that are broadcast on NOAA Weather Radio. In the case a waterspout is sighted, captains are advised to immediately head at a 90 degree angle from the apparent motion of the waterspout.

“Never try to navigate through a waterspout,” Ocean Today states. “Although waterspouts are usually weaker than tornadoes, they can still produce significant damage to you and your boat.”

Superyacht Captain Weighs in on Venus Collision

Superyacht Captain and social media influencer Kelly Gordon provided analysis of the Venus’ collision. She said that while there are many actions that could have been taken to avoid the collision, incidents like this one can happen quickly and allow minimal time to react.

“However, alarms should have been set on each vessel that would notify crew when another vessel is within a certain distance of theirs, wind alarms for when wind speeds exceed certain limits, anchor alarms to indicate drag, use of radar, and a proper bridge watch, to name a few,” Gordon told Yachting in an emailed statement. “One would think that they had time to react, but maybe not. Weighing anchor and maneuvering in these conditions can be extremely difficult.  Forward thinking and precautionary measures can never be understated regardless of the forecasted conditions.”

Gordon said that the individuals heard yelling in the video did not appear to be in uniform and were likely guests. While the video doesn’t make it clear whether or not the captains were communicating via radio, Gordon affirmed that they should have been doing so well in advance to this collision.

“You can hear that Lady Moura did sound their horn,” Gordon said. “What is interesting is that it was only one long blast and should have been 5 short blasts to indicate danger. Regardless, a blast was made and that would have gained the attention of a proper watchman. Again, it’s obvious that there was not a proper bridge watch being maintained on Venus, but why? While there are numerous errors that were made in this instance the most notable is that Venus did not have a proper bridge watch, but again, why not? Was it complete and gross negligence or were there demands placed on the captain and crew that caused them to be under crewed and overworked-this is often the case in this industry. …”

When it comes to reducing damage from this kind of accident, Gordon said that mitigating a collision happens well in advance of the collision.

“Collisions are meant to be prevented and not reacted to after it has occurred,” Gordon said. “I can’t emphasize enough the importance of a proper bridge watch and use of all means available to execute that watch. Not only is it important to utilize all means of equipment available, but also your senses. Action needs to be taken well in advance. You aren’t just on watch for your own vessel, but also for others that are around you as well.”

Gordon stresses that she is not judging the actions taken by other captains, who might just lack the resources and staff to do their job safely.

“I am not one to judge another captain’s actions,” Gordon said. “Being a captain is a very stressful and demanding job and I have long expressed to my crew that I would never be one to judge the actions of another.  In defense of the captain and crew one has to ask-were they under crewed?  Did the owners put extraneous demands and pressures on them? Were they allowed to maintain proper work/rest hours?  Was proper training provided? Yes, a master of this size of vessel should be extremely experienced, but you just don’t know what the crew were fully up against.”

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Offshore Fishing Boats and Insurance Prices https://www.yachtingmagazine.com/yachts/boat-insurance-risk-and-reward/ Tue, 13 Aug 2024 19:00:07 +0000 https://www.yachtingmagazine.com/?p=65637 The number of outboards hanging on the transom, a hurricane plan and reckless stereotypes all impact insurance costs.

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outboard motors at sunset
Going from three to four motors, or from four to five, can add a hefty increase in insurance premiums. adobe.stock/Popovatetiana

When it comes to insurance costs, boaters who fish offshore are learning that extra outboards feed into a stereotype.

“You’re expected to go fast and run the boat like an idiot,” says Tim Derrico, director of sales at HMY. “If you buy an upper-30- to 50-foot center-console fishing boat—especially the fishing boats, more than the cruising boats—they figure you’re going to run offshore and go fast to get where you want to go. You can get insurance, but it’s challenging.”

The difficulty with finding affordable policies has become so acute that insurers are now suggesting that some boat owners forgo windstorm coverage. The logic is that if the owner is well-off enough to pay cash for the boat, then he’s also in a position to self-insure and have a captain with a solid hurricane plan to get out of the way of storms.

Wwners are reducing insurance costs by purchasing smaller boats, especially in areas where insurers see the most risk from big storms. adobe.stock/Steven

“You can cut your insurance in half,” Derrico says. “They’re going to require you to have a hurricane plan, so have that plan anyhow. Just make sure you can get the boat to a safe place where you’re not going to be subject to direct wind or storm surge. Worst case, maybe you get a little dock rash or break some antennas or bend your riggers.”

Other owners are reducing insurance costs by purchasing smaller boats, especially in areas where insurers see the most risk from big storms. “In Florida, for sure,” he says. “You can sell a 60-foot boat in Florida, and the insurance would cost you five times as much as the same boat in New York or Connecticut.”

Anyone shopping for a boat, Derrico adds, should look into insurance costs before anything else: “When you’re ready to buy another boat, on top of the list, the first thing you start dealing with should be insurance.”

Safe Space: How to Be Prepared

Insurers recommend that boat owners haul out their boats, if at all possible, ahead of an incoming storm. Of course, with a major storm, this means there’s usually a crush of people trying to get haulout services at the same time. The best-prepared boat owners prepay to reserve the service, or for a space at an upriver marina or canal considered a good hurricane hole. It’s important to do what the policy requires; insurers will hold a boat owner to a written hurricane plan.

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Boaters Expect More Hurricanes in 2024 https://www.yachtingmagazine.com/cruising-and-chartering/boaters-expect-more-hurricanes-in-2024/ Fri, 31 May 2024 15:30:04 +0000 https://www.yachtingmagazine.com/?p=64371 NOAA predicts 17-25 named storms for the Atlantic Basin citing La Nina.

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NOAA Airmass Composite
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal 2024 hurricane season. NOAA forecasts a range of 17 to 25 total named storms, 8 to 13 of which to become hurricanes with 4 to 7 of those becoming major hurricanes in 2024. Courtesy NOAA

National Weather Service forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have predicted above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year with 4 to 7 major hurricanes.

According to a press release published Thursday, May 23, from the organization, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season. The report predicts a 10% chance of a near-normal season and a 5% chance of a below-normal season. 

NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms with winds of 39 mph or higher. Of those storms, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or higher. Forecasts predict those storms include 4 to 7 major hurricanes that are category 3, 4 or 5 with winds of 111 mph or higher. Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.

The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to Nov. 30, is expected to have above-normal activity due to a combination of several factors. The press release notes near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear all merge to favor tropical storm formation this year.

“With another active hurricane season approaching, NOAA’s commitment to keeping every American informed with life-saving information is unwavering,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad in the press release. “AI-enabled language translations and a new depiction of inland wind threats in the forecast cone are just two examples of the proactive steps our agency is taking to meet our mission of saving lives and protecting property.”

NOAA Water Temperature map
Water in the area of the Atlantic Basin where most hurricanes develop is 2.5- 4.5 degrees F warmer than average. As a result, scientists predict not just more hurricanes, but more rapid intensification of hurricanes. Courtesy NOAA

El Nino, La Nina, And Predicting Hurricane Activity

Folks who casually check the weather may recall the terms “El Nino” and “La Nina” referenced by forecasters during previous hurricane seasons. But what do those terms mean?

According to an article by NOAA, trade winds blow west along the equator, taking warm water from South America towards Asia during normal conditions in the Pacific Ocean. To replace that warm water, cold water rises from the depths in a process called upwelling. El Nino and La Nina are two opposing climate patterns that break these ordinary conditions. Scientists call these phenomena the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle.

The article states that During El Nino, trade winds weaken and warm water is pushed back east, toward the west coast of the Americas. These warmer waters cause the pacific jet stream to move south of its neutral position. This shift makes areas in the northern U.S. and Canada dryer and warmer than usual while causing the U.S. Gulf Coast and Southeast to be wetter than usual and have increased flooding.

La Nina, on the other hand, causes trade winds to become stronger than usual, pushing more warm water toward Asia. Upwelling off the West Coast of the Americas then increases, making the waters cooler there. The article explains that these cold waters in the Pacific push the jet stream northward, which tends to lead to drought in the southern U.S. and heavy rains and flooding in the Pacific Northwest and Canada.

Gerry Bell, NOAA hurricane climate specialist and research meteorologist, describes El Nino and La Nina as a “see-saw between the Pacific and Atlantic oceans” in a ENSO Blog post published on climate.gov. The phenomenon strengthens hurricane activity in one region while weakening it in the other.

Put simply, La Nina causes stronger hurricanes in the Atlantic while weakening those in the Pacific, and El Nino conversely causes stronger hurricanes in the Pacific while weakening those in the Atlantic. As one of the strongest El Nino cycles recorded comes to an end, NOAA predicts a quick transition to La Nina conditions this hurricane season.

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